Tension with Pakistan

SWOT Threat: Tension with Pakistan
Conflict between India and Pakistan is a persistent problem. Nuclear weapons only increase the danger of war and mass causalities.

"Although this phenomenon encouraged U.S.-Soviet violence during the Cold War, it does not explain the dynamics of the ongoing conflict between India and Pakistan. Recent violence has seen Pakistan or its proxies launching limited attacks on Indian territory, and India refusing to retaliate in kind. The stability/instability paradox would not predict such behavior. A low probability of conventional war escalating to the nuclear level would reduce the ability of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons to deter an Indian conventional attack. Because Pakistan is conventionally weaker than India, this would discourage Pakistani aggression and encourage robust Indian conventional retaliation against Pakistani provocations. Pakistani boldness and Indian restraint have actually resulted from instability in the strategic environment. A full-scale Indo-Pakistani conventional conflict would create a significant risk of nuclear escalation. This danger enables Pakistan to launch limited attacks on India while deterring all-out Indian conventional retaliation and attracting international attention to the two countries’ dispute over Kashmir. Unlike in Cold War Europe, in contemporary South Asia nuclear danger facilitates, rather than impedes, conventional conflict.

Terrorist activity increases risk to companies and reduces their potential. Either a company has to increase the security of their employees or equipment, or risk war between two countries. Terrorist threats hurt a companies ability to plan, thus reducing profits and potential."

Source:http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/publication/704/india_and_pakistans_unstable_peace.html